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Investors have only been this stressed out about stocks one other time since the financial crisis (SPX, SPY, QQQ, TLT, IWM)

The stock market is down over 10% this year and investors are freaked out. The team over at Bespoke Investment Group highlighted the percent of investors surveyed by the American Association of Individual Investors who described...



Sweden Cuts Rates Deeper Into Negative Territory...

Sweden Cuts Rates Deeper Into Negative Territory...(Top headline, 2nd story, link)Related stories:Panic pushes gold buying to highest level since financial crisis... ...



International business cycle transmission: Firm-level evidence

The business cycles of countries with greater bilateral trade and multinational production linkages are more closely correlated. But the meaning of this empirical relationship is not well understood. Some contend that these linkages allow for the...



Markets mixed, China banks face loss over 4 times that of US subprime crisis (1607481)

Markets had a mixed day on Wednesdy. The S&P 500 finished flat but the STOXX Europe 600 jumped 1.9 percent while the Nikkei 225 plunged 2.3 percent. In oil markets, Brent crude rose 1.7 percent but US crude fell 1.8 percent. China's markets are...



Yellen Flags Risks to Outlook That Could Delay Interest Rate Increases

Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen flagged risks to the economic outlook that could delay the central bank’s plans for raising short-term interest rates, in prepared remarks for her semiannual testimony to...



KYLE BASS: China is already out of money

Texan hedge fund manager J. Kyle Bass, the founder of Dallas-based Hayman Capital, sent out a big letter to investors explaining why he thinks China has a problem much larger than the 2008 subprime crisis. China has been burning through...



How do we identify sticky wages?

Tyler Cowen has a new post on the subject: When you disaggregate the data at the state level, wages don’t look so sticky any more: …states that experienced larger employment declines between 2007 and 2010 had significantly lower nominal wage...



George Soros: EU Is Set To Disintegrate, And The Only Way Russia Can Survive Is Ensuring That Happens Quickly

Well one thing you can give George Soros credit for – when it comes to politics you want to be on his side and not against him. Soros has a knack for really angering countries which goes back many decades. He recently angered China, which was...



Yellen: "Financial conditions in the United States have recently become less supportive of growth"

From Fed Chair Janet Yellen: Semiannual Monetary Policy Report to the Congress. Excerpt:Financial conditions in the United States have recently become less supportive of growth, with declines in broad measures of equity prices, higher borrowing rates...



US Foods Plans Public Stock Offering After Failed Merger With Sysco

Back in 2013, food service giant Sysco proposed a purchase of another foodservice giant, US Foods. After a lengthy engagement, Sysco ultimately dropped the attempted merger, which the Federal Trade Commission wasn’t keen on. Instead of being...



The Supreme Court Can’t Save Coal

The Supreme Court appears to have dealt a blow to President Obama’s plan to make America’s power supply cleaner. While not ruling on it outright, the court issued a temporary stay on the implementation of the standards, which would have...



‘Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice’: Will It Live Up to the Hype?

As soon as the new trailer for Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice was released, the Internet (as usual) instantly began dissecting the footage. However, regardless of how fans feel about Jesse Eisenberg’s kooky take on Lex Luthor or the fact that...



Stan’s Super Bowl prediction: Broncos 24, Panthers 13

We ran the data through our model, not just the data from the past season but from the past 17 seasons (that’s what we could easily access) with a Gaussian process model to allow team abilities to vary over time. Because we’re...



Under-performers for 2016 (so far)

Want to know how your portfolio is doing in 2016? This chart explains a lot:     Source: FT Alphaville The post Under-performers for 2016 (so far) appeared first on The Big...



Bernie Sanders Is the Future of the Democratic Party

Campaigns are about candidates but also parties. Bernie Sanders’s impressive victory over Hillary Clinton in the New Hampshire primary isn’t just a triumph for Sanders, although his personal achievement can’t be denied. He ran an...



WHAT HILLARY TOLD GOLDMAN SACHS...

WHAT HILLARY TOLD GOLDMAN SACHS...(Second column, 1st story, link)Related stories:SALON: HER 'HONEST GRAFT' MACHINE IS BUSTED...How Press Team Dictated Reporter's Story... ...



Valentine’s Day: Does Facebook Ad Spend Mirror Gift Purchases?

Valentine’s Day falls on Feb. 14, but Feb. 11 is the key day for advertisers on Facebook, according to a new study from Nanigans. The digital advertising automation software provider and Facebook Marketing Partner found that the...



"This obscure indicator is flashing red for the US economy"

"Distillates demand in January fell at a rate only seen before during US recessions". (With the qualification that market quantities are affected by both demand and supply, the graph doesn't look good.) ...



Morning News: February 9, 2016

Britain’s Global Banking Hub Is Mostly Leery of an E.U. Exit Global Bond Rally Near `Panic’ Level With Japan Yield Below Zero Bonds Follow Bank of Japan Into Negative Territory Russian Companies Rush to Return to Post-Sanctions Iran Oil...



Of Morality Plays and Technocratic Assessments

Or, breaking up the big banks might provide some visceral joy, but it’s not clear to me that solves the key problem of financial fragility in modern capitalist systems. I recently talked on C-SPAN’s BookTV about my book, Lost...



Apple: Remember The iPhone Replacement Cycle, Says Mizuho

If it’s Monday in early February, which it is, it must be time to start thinking about Apple’s (AAPL) prospects for the rest of this year, after an 11% sell-off this year on iPhone worries. Mizuho Securities’s Abhey Lamba this...



Mexico 'won't pay single cent for Trump's wall'

Donald Trump might want to build a wall to keep Mexican migrants out but don't expect Mexico to pay for it, the former Mexican president told...



The employment to population ratio, revisited

Many of us think this diagram shows there has been some kind of structural break in the labor market, and/or that recovery is proceeding slowly.  Paul Krugman, very recently, suggests that structural factors play little role because the measured...



How the Apple Watch Sold the Wrong Product

Spencer Platt/Getty Images The Apple Watch made a huge splash when it launched last year. It seemed like the perfect new device for Apple fans, with easy ways to see and respond to notifications, comprehensive fitness-tracking abilities, and quick...



Super Bowl 50: Peyton Manning Goes Out on Top (on Facebook and Twitter)

Not surprisingly, Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning was the most-discussed player on Facebook during Super Bowl 50 Sunday night, as well as the most-tweeted-about Broncos player. Facebook said in an email to SocialTimes that 60...



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Always look for forced urgent selling.” Seth Klarman

“Always look for forced urgent selling.” – Seth Klarman, Superstar Money Manager Get The Full Seth Klarman Series in PDF Get the entire 10-part series on Seth Klarman in PDF. Save it to...

Watch the Video > Post includes YouTube video


The Super Bowl and the stock market

Will the Panthers or the Broncos win? The answer may indicate how the next year on Wall Street will fare. The Super Bowl Indicator has correctly predicted the year of stocks based on the Super Bowl winner 41 of 50...

Watch the Video > Post includes YouTube video


The Rich Are Already Using Robo-Advisors, And That Scares Banks



KYLE BASS: China is already out of money

Texan hedge fund manager J. Kyle Bass, the founder of Dallas-based Hayman Capital, sent out a big letter to investors explaining why he thinks China has a problem much larger than the 2008 subprime crisis. China has been burning through...



Opinion: Don’t Break Up the Banks. They’re Not Our Real Problem.

A protagonist of “The Big Short” argues that the attention paid to the banks distracts us from the real economic challenge we face: income...



UN panel backs WikiLeaks' Julian Assange, but he may not go free

A UN panel has ruled that the time Julian Assange has spent cooped up in the London embassy of the Ecuador government amounts to arbitrary detention by the U.K. and Sweden, but it is unlikely that the founder of the WikiLeaks whistle-blowing website...



Super Bowl 50: Peyton Manning Goes Out on Top (on Facebook and Twitter)

Not surprisingly, Denver Broncos quarterback Peyton Manning was the most-discussed player on Facebook during Super Bowl 50 Sunday night, as well as the most-tweeted-about Broncos player. Facebook said in an email to SocialTimes that 60...



Deleting the Facebook App Could Save 15% of Your iPhone’s Battery

If you’re an iPhone-owning Facebook user who never seems to have enough battery life, there’s now more reason to believe the Facebook app could be part of the problem. The Guardian recently tested an iPhone 6s Plus for one week without the...



The Supreme Court Can’t Save Coal

The Supreme Court appears to have dealt a blow to President Obama’s plan to make America’s power supply cleaner. While not ruling on it outright, the court issued a temporary stay on the implementation of the standards, which would have...



Morning News: February 9, 2016

Britain’s Global Banking Hub Is Mostly Leery of an E.U. Exit Global Bond Rally Near `Panic’ Level With Japan Yield Below Zero Bonds Follow Bank of Japan Into Negative Territory Russian Companies Rush to Return to Post-Sanctions Iran Oil...



Time for the GOP Establishment to Panic

Brian Beutler: “The Republican establishment’s fondest hope before Saturday night’s debate was that Marco Rubio would deliver yet another solid (if unmemorable) debate performance, and that Donald Trump would fall on his...



Jeb Bush May Still Have a Shot

Franklin Foer: “With his few remaining breaths as a candidate, however, Bush may have a path out from his debacle, an actual shot at the nomination. For months, he tried and failed to crush Sen. Marco Rubio. But he wielded the hatchet like a...



Valentine’s Day: Does Facebook Ad Spend Mirror Gift Purchases?

Valentine’s Day falls on Feb. 14, but Feb. 11 is the key day for advertisers on Facebook, according to a new study from Nanigans. The digital advertising automation software provider and Facebook Marketing Partner found that the...



Facebook CEO Wants 5 Billion People To Use Its Platform By 2030

Facebook hosted an event on Monday to celebrate its 12th anniversary and CEO Mark Zuckerberg said he wishes the platform to have 5 billion users by 2030, according to USA Today. According to the UN, the world’s population will grow to 8.5...



US tech stocks plunge, European financial stocks at "frightening" levels (1605952)

US stocks fell on Friday, led by a rout in technology stocks. The S&P 500 fell 1.8 percent while the Nasdaq Composite Index plunged 3.2 percent. Elsewhere, the STOXX Europe 600 fell 0.9 percent, the Nikkei 225 fell 1.3 percent and the Shanghai...



George Soros: EU Is Set To Disintegrate, And The Only Way Russia Can Survive Is Ensuring That Happens Quickly

Well one thing you can give George Soros credit for – when it comes to politics you want to be on his side and not against him. Soros has a knack for really angering countries which goes back many decades. He recently angered China, which was...



Links for 02-05-16

Rubio For The Rich - Paul Krugman Obama proposes a $10/barrel fee on oil to fund clean transportation - Vox Keynes on "Ruthless Truth-Telling"--and the IMF Connection - Tim Taylor GDP doesn’t tell the whole story about...



How the Apple Watch Sold the Wrong Product

Spencer Platt/Getty Images The Apple Watch made a huge splash when it launched last year. It seemed like the perfect new device for Apple fans, with easy ways to see and respond to notifications, comprehensive fitness-tracking abilities, and quick...



Links for 02-06-16

Remembrance of Forecasts Past - Paul Krugman Why Isn't the Whole World Developed? - Dietrich Vollrath What We've Learned About Unconventional Policy - Narayana Kocherlakota The CRISPR patent battle: A case of big money shaping...



Berkowitz, Tilson, Reider & More At The Harbor Investment Conference

Berkowitz, Tilson, Reider & More At The Harbor Investment Conference by Todd Sullivan, ValuePlays One has to believe Ackman and Berkowitz are going to have plenty to chat about regarding Fannie Mae given recent court filings. This is always a...