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Did the Keynesians Get It Wrong in Predicting a Recession in 2013?

I have had several readers send me a blogpost from Scott Sumner saying that the Keynesians have been dishonest in not owning up to the fact that they were wrong in predicting a recession in 2013. The argument is that supposed us Keynesian types all said...



Alwaleed: Oil will never hit $100 again

Saudi Prince Alwaleed said the world will never again see triple-digit oil, but that the Saudis and OPEC will not cut...



Winklevoss twins plan to launch new US-based bitcoin exchange

The Winklevoss twins aren't done with bitcoin yet. Since 2012, the pair so far has invested millions in the cryptocurrency, launched the WinkDex bitcoin price monitor and are still trying...



This Is The Beginning Of The End For The Euro



Tesla Motors Inc Believers: Don’t Be Afraid Of Volatility

Tesla Motors stock has been known to be uneven, hitting a high of $280 per share in September and falling down again at the end of 2014. Again on Thursday, the stock moved up over $200. Tesla stock and volatility Investors who are confident in the...



What’s the point of the margin of error?

So . . . the scheduled debate on using margin of error with non-probability panels never happened. We got it started but there was some problem with the webinar software and nobody put the participants could hear anything. The 5 minutes of conversation...



Hedge Fund News: Carl Icahn, Jeffrey Smith, Ray Dalio

Icahn: Oil Will Go Lower, Saudi Arabia Blindsiding The World (CNBC) The price of oil will go lower as supply and demand remain unbalanced, activist investor Carl Icahn said Thursday. Icahn, who spoke with CNBC’s “Fast Money: Halftime...



Paging Robert Burns

O wad some Pow'r the giftie gie us yada...



10 Thoughts Distracting Davos Attendees from Meditating

The World Economic Forum’s annual meeting is now taking place in Davos, Switzerland, as it does every year. In addition to talk of world finance/domination, this year attending business gurus, policymakers, and half-interested celebrities are...



Links for 01-22-15

For The Love Of Capital Income - Paul Krugman Optimizing optimization algorithms - MIT News It’s the Institutions, Stupid! - Gloomy European Economist Unified Growth Theory is not the Enemy - Growth Economics Bitcoins, Gold Bugs and Money - Noah...



CNN to Produce Political Game Show...

CNN to Produce Political Game Show...(Second column, 10th story, link) ...



Republican Senators Finally Admit That Climate Change Is Not a Hoax

The Senate considered three non-binding resolutions on Wednesday about whether they accept that climate change is real. One amendment from Senator Sheldon Whitehouse, a...



Hedge Fund Manager Sends Investors An 'I'm Sorry' Letter For Losing All But $200,000 Of The Firm's Money

Hedge fund manager Owen Li sent a letter to his investors apologizing for losing all but $200,000 of the fund's capital by acting "overzealously," CNBC.com's Lawrence Delevingne reports. Li, who previously worked at convicted...



Hedge Fund News: Paul Singer, Stanley Druckenmiller, Alan Howard

Paul Singer: ‘Cushion to Withstand Risks Is Very Low’ (CNBC) Paul Singer thinks the recent dramatic move in the Swiss franc—and resulting losses—shows just how exposed most investors are to market risk. “Given...



It’s something of a miracle that gas is only $2 per gallon and cheaper than any other liquid consumers buy

ProductCost Per GallonHP Printer Ink$4,500Nyquil$107.52Premium Vodka$76.80Honey$46.72Hair Gel$44.80Pancake Syrup$32.26Red Bull$28.00Windex$23.81Real Lemon Juice$22.91Soy Sauce$22.66Chicken Noodle Soup$21.25Mouthwash$19.65Tide Laundry Detergent$18.18Dawn...



NETFLIX expanding into hotels...

NETFLIX expanding into hotels...(Second column, 19th story, link) ...



The Chinese money supply

Derek Scissors reports: Broad money M2 breached $20tn at the end of December, a staggering 70 per cent larger than in the US, where monetary policy has hardly been tight. There’s a tremendous amount of liquidity, the problem is no one is using it....



Greenlight Capital Q4 2014 Letter To Investors

Below is a copy of Greenlight Capital’s Q4 2014 letter to investors, a copy of which was obtained by ValueWalk. Check back soon for further analysis. Also see Apple, Micron, Sune Propel Greenlight To 9% Return In 2014 Dear Partner: The...



Starboard Value Intensifies Demand For Staples-Office Depot Merger

Starboard Value LP, the activist hedge fund headed by Jeffrey Smith is planning to intensify its demand for a Staples-Office Depot merger. Last December, Starboard Value boosted its stakes in Staples to 6% and Office Depot to approximately 10%. At the...



PAPER: Jeb Bush's role at firm grew despite signs of trouble...

PAPER: Jeb Bush's role at firm grew despite signs of trouble...(Third column, 16th story, link)Related stories:Clinton developing 'smarter, more relevant' campaign for '16...Trump states case for becoming next president... ...



European Economy on Verge of Recession

Oil prices are plunging below $50 per barrel, and the European Central Bank is about to announce whether it will begin its own Quantitative Easing program, similar to the Fed's purchase of government securities, but designed to pump more money into...



With ZipDial deal, Twitter wins when people call and then hang up

Twitter's acquisition of Bangalore-based ZipDial gives it access to a fairly massive market for "missed call" services, which many phone users in developing countries use as a low-cost method of...



Why Google Works

BERLIN -- The best inventions are never finished. When the German engineer Karl Benz invented the first petroleum-powered automobile, he did not just create an engine with wheels; he set in motion an industry that revolutionized the way society was...



Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) Manage To Meet Analyst Expectations On Tuesday With Earnings Report?

Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) has been the primary reason for many cable companies to run for cover and change their strategies. Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ:NFLX) had shown tremendous growth till the October quarter in 2014, during which the company had recorded...



Can Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) Capitalize On Plunging Oil Prices And Grow Further In 2015?

Delta Air Lines, Inc. (NYSE:DAL) has been among the primary gainers from plunging oil prices. Overall, transportation industry has gained from drop in oil prices. Delta Air Lines, Inc. (NYSE:DAL) shares has gained more than 45% in the last 1 year and...



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Links for 01-14-15

Rage and Reaganolatry - Paul Krugman Why Wages Won't Rise - Robert Reich Wall St. Pushes to Undermine Dodd-Frank Reform - NYTimes.com The Industrial Revolution and Modern Development - Growth Economics A simple model where NGDP targeting beats...



10 Thoughts Distracting Davos Attendees from Meditating

The World Economic Forum’s annual meeting is now taking place in Davos, Switzerland, as it does every year. In addition to talk of world finance/domination, this year attending business gurus, policymakers, and half-interested celebrities are...



Which Way to Higher Yield?

The U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield fell below 2 percent on Tuesday. Its global peers Japan and Germany have similarly witnessed their 10-year yields drop in recent weeks, though slightly more dramatic, hitting close to the zero mark. This news, along...



Steven Cohen’s New Firm Posts Big Gain in 2014 Despite Investigations

Point72 Asset Management, Steven A. Cohen’s investment firm, generated a gross profit of $2.5 billion to $3 billion, said several people briefed on the firm’s performance. That would have made it one of the hedge fund industry’s most...



Surprise, Surprise: Gold Beat All World Currencies in 2014

Gold Beat All Other World Currencies in 2014 by Frank Holmes Gold is money. Everything else is credit. ~J.P. Morgan in 1912 Loyal readers of our Investor Alert and my blog Frank Talk are no doubt aware that the U.S. dollar’s rising strength has put...



Starboard Value Intensifies Demand For Staples-Office Depot Merger

Starboard Value LP, the activist hedge fund headed by Jeffrey Smith is planning to intensify its demand for a Staples-Office Depot merger. Last December, Starboard Value boosted its stakes in Staples to 6% and Office Depot to approximately 10%. At the...



Hedge Fund News: Carl Icahn, Jeffrey Smith, Ray Dalio

Icahn: Oil Will Go Lower, Saudi Arabia Blindsiding The World (CNBC) The price of oil will go lower as supply and demand remain unbalanced, activist investor Carl Icahn said Thursday. Icahn, who spoke with CNBC’s “Fast Money: Halftime...



S&P 500: More on “Shiller PE” Fears



BlackBerry jumps on takeover report

BlackBerry stock skyrocketed after a report that the device maker had been approached by Samsung about a potential...